XRP Price Breakdown: Key Resistance Levels and $4 Move After Fibonacci Breakout

XRP holds $2.14 support during price compression, setting the stage for major volatility.

Clearing $2.33 to $2.45 zones could ignite momentum toward $4, with $1.50 downside risk.

Tight volatility bands show XRP building strength for an imminent breakout continuation.

XRP continues to defend its bullish structure while consolidating between major support and resistance bands. Analysts expect sharp volatility once XRP breaks its immediate resistance levels, potentially driving a move toward $4.

Key Bullish and Bearish Thresholds

EGRAG CRYPTO reviewed XRP's daily structure following recent critical support tests around $2.14. The short-term forecast projects volatility as price compression intensifies inside major technical bands. This setup led him to issue a targeted outlook based on Fibonacci retracements and breakout retest zones.

Source: EGRAG CRYPTO

In EGRAG’s detailed analysis, he outlined XRP’s short-term position within the broader bull market structure. Using Fibonacci levels, he identified $2.32800 as the key resistance capping further upside, with price repeatedly struggling to break through since February 2025. He also highlighted $2.14139 as critical support, emphasizing that holding this level is essential to avoid a deeper market correction.

Given the chart’s layout, the analysis notes that failure to hold $2.14 could drag XRP into the $1.60–$1.50 “Major Retest” box. Interpreting the recent candlestick formation, the rejection wicks near $2.32 are highlighted as reinforcing the overhead selling pressure. Building on this point, the breakdown dissects the 0.702 Fibonacci alignment with the former breakout zone, underlining its importance for trend continuation.

Studying volume inflows, EGRAG identifies reactive buying near $1.70 and $1.90, where past green arrows confirmed structural defenses. After this dip, he outlines a probability scenario: breaching $2.33-$2.45 could trigger a clean advance toward $4.0000. Reviewing the wedge pattern, XRP’s broader bull market support band remains intact unless major supports collapse.

Volatility Compression Toward Breakout Zones

Charting Guy explored XRP’s four-hour chart to assess intraday volatility and potential breakout paths, offering a fresh angle compared to EGRAG’s broader daily structure review. His analysis focused on dynamic statistical bands from historical price action, outlining key risk zones and narrowing volatility.

Source: Charting Guy

Noting the ongoing price squeeze, the analysis emphasized XRP’s position just beneath the upper white range boundary near $2.20. Zooming into this move, the breakdown highlights statistical resistance thresholds beginning at $2.70 and expanding toward $8.00. Seeing how momentum shifted, the focus narrows to XRP’s ability to hold within the white mid-bands despite repeated rejection spikes.

Evaluating key resistance flips, he finds that breaking $2.70 could unleash accelerated moves toward $3.00 and $4.20. Focusing on the MACD cross, he uncovers reduced downside momentum despite recent failed attempts above $2.30. Watching OBV behavior, he details accumulating pressure inside green volatility bands around $1.80, suggesting growing long-term support.

From that double-bottom, he evaluates that a strong rebound potential should allow XRP to revisit $1.50 before climbing higher. As the breakout matures, volatility expansion will likely follow once XRP decisively exits the narrowing mid-bands. Reviewing the wedge structure, the analysis concludes that XRP’s price action supports a patient accumulation strategy until significant volume catalysts emerge.